Stranraer vs Greenock Morton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
35.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
STR
3 - 0
CLY
71%
17%
12%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ALB
1 - 0
STR
46%
26%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
STR
1 - 1
BLA
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
MON
3 - 2
STR
28%
24%
48%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
STR
2 - 0
THE
72%
16%
12%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
STI
3 - 2
GRE
31%
25%
44%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
GRE
0 - 2
DUN
30%
27%
43%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 0
GRE
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
GRE
1 - 3
DUN
34%
28%
38%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
QOS
1 - 4
GRE
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |