Stranraer vs Forfar Athletic analysis

Stranraer Forfar Athletic
53 ELO 48
21.4% Tilt 9.5%
4327º General ELO ranking 4112º
57º Country ELO ranking 54º
ELO win probability
64.5%
Stranraer
19%
Draw
16.4%
Forfar Athletic

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
Stranraer
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
16.5%
Win probability
Forfar Athletic
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Stranraer
-9%
-19%
Forfar Athletic

ELO progression

Stranraer
Forfar Athletic
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stranraer
Stranraer
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Aug. 2014
STR
Stranraer
1 - 0
East Fife
EAS
75%
15%
10%
52 39 13 0
26 Jul. 2014
STR
Stranraer
3 - 2
Dumbarton
DUM
32%
22%
46%
51 59 8 +1
10 May. 2014
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
3 - 0
Stranraer
STR
54%
22%
24%
52 54 2 -1
07 May. 2014
STR
Stranraer
2 - 1
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
42%
23%
35%
51 55 4 +1
03 May. 2014
STR
Stranraer
3 - 1
Forfar Athletic
FOR
53%
22%
25%
50 50 0 +1

Matches

Forfar Athletic
Forfar Athletic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Aug. 2014
RAI
Raith Rovers
4 - 2
Forfar Athletic
FOR
66%
19%
15%
48 56 8 0
26 Jul. 2014
EAS
East Fife
2 - 1
Forfar Athletic
FOR
27%
24%
49%
49 36 13 -1
03 May. 2014
STR
Stranraer
3 - 1
Forfar Athletic
FOR
53%
22%
25%
50 50 0 -1
26 Apr. 2014
FOR
Forfar Athletic
4 - 2
Ayr United
AYR
60%
20%
20%
49 47 2 +1
19 Apr. 2014
FOR
Forfar Athletic
0 - 2
Arbroath
ARB
69%
17%
14%
50 42 8 -1