Stranraer vs Forfar Athletic analysis

Stranraer Forfar Athletic
44 ELO 50
34.8% Tilt 11.6%
5590º General ELO ranking 4495º
63º Country ELO ranking 53º
ELO win probability
38.1%
Stranraer
23.5%
Draw
38.4%
Forfar Athletic

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
Stranraer
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
38.4%
Win probability
Forfar Athletic
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Stranraer
-17%
-30%
Forfar Athletic

ELO progression

Stranraer
Forfar Athletic
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stranraer
Stranraer
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Oct. 2012
BRE
Brechin City
3 - 0
Stranraer
STR
53%
22%
25%
44 45 1 0
06 Oct. 2012
STR
Stranraer
0 - 2
Queen of the South
QOS
31%
24%
45%
44 60 16 0
29 Sep. 2012
STR
Stranraer
2 - 6
East Fife
EAS
48%
22%
30%
46 49 3 -2
22 Sep. 2012
ALL
Alloa Athletic
3 - 0
Stranraer
STR
66%
19%
15%
46 54 8 0
15 Sep. 2012
ALB
Albion Rovers
2 - 1
Stranraer
STR
36%
25%
39%
47 44 3 -1

Matches

Forfar Athletic
Forfar Athletic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Oct. 2012
EAS
East Fife
3 - 0
Forfar Athletic
FOR
45%
25%
31%
53 49 4 0
06 Oct. 2012
FOR
Forfar Athletic
2 - 3
Alloa Athletic
ALL
52%
23%
25%
54 54 0 -1
29 Sep. 2012
FOR
Forfar Athletic
4 - 2
Albion Rovers
ALB
70%
18%
12%
53 45 8 +1
22 Sep. 2012
ARB
Arbroath
1 - 1
Forfar Athletic
FOR
62%
21%
17%
53 57 4 0
15 Sep. 2012
FOR
Forfar Athletic
1 - 0
Brechin City
BRE
63%
20%
17%
52 48 4 +1
X