Stranraer vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
60%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
10º
10º
57
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 0
STR
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CLY
1 - 0
STR
46%
24%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
STR
1 - 1
BRA
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
EAS
2 - 1
STR
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
STR
1 - 2
ELG
43%
24%
33%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
DUM
1 - 0
CLY
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 2
DUM
35%
26%
40%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
DUM
0 - 0
STE
33%
27%
39%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
DUM
2 - 0
BRA
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SPA
2 - 6
DUM
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +2 |