Stranraer vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
51.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
10º
10º
57
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
STR
0 - 0
FOR
34%
27%
40%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
DUM
2 - 1
STR
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
STR
1 - 2
SPA
23%
24%
53%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
STR
2 - 0
CLY
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 0
STR
58%
21%
21%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
DUM
1 - 0
PET
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
DUM
2 - 1
STR
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CLY
2 - 0
DUM
19%
22%
59%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
DUM
0 - 0
SPA
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
DUM
2 - 2
FOR
53%
25%
23%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |