Stranraer vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
49.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
4º
9º
7º
61
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
66% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
7º
|
60.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
58.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
58.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
STR
2 - 0
EAS
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ELG
0 - 1
STR
60%
21%
19%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
STR
0 - 1
BRA
44%
24%
32%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 1
STR
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
STI
1 - 0
STR
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
DUM
1 - 0
STE
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
DUM
1 - 2
ELG
53%
25%
23%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
EAS
2 - 0
DUM
20%
23%
57%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
DUM
2 - 1
BLA
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
STE
1 - 1
DUM
36%
25%
39%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |