Stranraer vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
49%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
STE
1 - 2
STR
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
STR
0 - 3
FOR
51%
22%
28%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
BRE
2 - 2
STR
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
ARB
1 - 0
STR
62%
21%
18%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
QOS
2 - 0
STR
81%
13%
6%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
DUM
0 - 0
PAR
29%
27%
45%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
CWB
2 - 3
DUM
48%
23%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
DUM
4 - 1
AIR
69%
18%
13%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
FAL
1 - 3
DUM
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
DUM
1 - 2
RAI
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |