Stranraer vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
STE
1 - 5
STR
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
BRE
2 - 0
STR
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
STR
1 - 3
AIR
46%
26%
29%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
STR
3 - 1
BUC
69%
19%
13%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
STR
0 - 0
FOR
43%
25%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2015 |
CWB
4 - 2
AYR
40%
26%
35%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
AYR
2 - 1
BRE
64%
20%
16%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
PET
3 - 0
AYR
50%
25%
26%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
AYR
1 - 2
DUN
38%
26%
37%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
AYR
0 - 1
DUN
37%
24%
39%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |