Stranraer vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
8.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
PET
1 - 2
STR
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
STR
1 - 0
AIR
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
STI
0 - 1
STR
22%
24%
54%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 0
STR
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
STE
1 - 0
STR
22%
24%
54%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
AYR
2 - 2
BRE
28%
26%
46%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
GRE
2 - 1
AYR
68%
20%
12%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
AYR
0 - 0
STE
41%
24%
35%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2015 |
AYR
0 - 1
AIR
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
DUN
2 - 1
AYR
69%
18%
13%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |