Stourbridge vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
55%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stourbridge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
STO
0 - 2
CHE
38%
24%
38%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2011 |
STO
2 - 0
PLY
53%
22%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
STO
4 - 0
FRO
69%
18%
13%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
PLY
3 - 3
STO
49%
24%
28%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2011 |
KEN
0 - 6
STO
46%
23%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
STE
0 - 0
WAL
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
LEY
0 - 0
STE
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
HAR
0 - 1
STE
35%
26%
40%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
STE
2 - 1
SHE
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
BCF
1 - 2
STE
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |