FA Cup 1/128
Global 2-5
Stourbridge vs Eastleigh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
44.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stourbridge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
NEE
3 - 3
STO
28%
25%
47%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
STO
2 - 1
NUN
67%
19%
14%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2019 |
STO
3 - 2
WHI
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
WHI
1 - 1
STO
37%
26%
38%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
STO
1 - 1
BAN
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Eastleigh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
EAS
4 - 2
TOW
34%
27%
39%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
DOV
3 - 1
EAS
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
WOK
1 - 1
EAS
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
EAS
4 - 2
WEL
53%
25%
23%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
WEL
0 - 0
EAS
32%
24%
44%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |