Stourbridge vs Alvechurch FC analysis

Stourbridge Alvechurch FC
43 ELO 40
4.7% Tilt -5.8%
5385º General ELO ranking 5234º
260º Country ELO ranking 247º
ELO win probability
58.8%
Stourbridge
22.2%
Draw
19%
Alvechurch FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
Stourbridge
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19%
Win probability
Alvechurch FC
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Stourbridge
-3%
+13%
Alvechurch FC

ELO progression

Stourbridge
Alvechurch FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stourbridge
Stourbridge
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2019
RUS
Rushden & Diamonds
1 - 2
Stourbridge
STO
40%
26%
34%
42 39 3 0
06 Apr. 2019
NEE
Needham Market
0 - 0
Stourbridge
STO
26%
23%
51%
42 30 12 0
30 Mar. 2019
STO
Stourbridge
1 - 1
St Ives Town
STI
78%
14%
8%
42 30 12 0
23 Mar. 2019
ROY
Royston Town
3 - 2
Stourbridge
STO
38%
25%
37%
43 37 6 -1
16 Mar. 2019
STO
Stourbridge
4 - 1
Redditch United
RED
75%
15%
10%
43 31 12 0

Matches

Alvechurch FC
Alvechurch FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2019
ALV
Alvechurch FC
5 - 0
Coalville Town
COA
44%
22%
34%
38 37 1 0
06 Apr. 2019
KET
Kettering Town
1 - 2
Alvechurch FC
ALV
78%
14%
8%
37 47 10 +1
02 Apr. 2019
ALV
Alvechurch FC
2 - 1
Leiston
LEI
57%
20%
23%
36 32 4 +1
30 Mar. 2019
ALV
Alvechurch FC
3 - 1
Hitchin Town
HIT
38%
23%
39%
35 38 3 +1
26 Mar. 2019
ALV
Alvechurch FC
1 - 5
Barwell
BAR
59%
20%
21%
36 31 5 -1