Stormvogels vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
59.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
SPA
1 - 1
HER
58%
22%
20%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
HER
0 - 1
AJA
13%
20%
67%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
NAC
4 - 1
HER
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2007 |
RJC
2 - 1
HER
64%
22%
15%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
HER
0 - 2
PSV
20%
25%
56%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |