SC Telstar vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
56.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Telstar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2007 |
HEL
2 - 1
TEL
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2007 |
TEL
0 - 1
FCE
44%
25%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2007 |
FCO
1 - 0
TEL
46%
24%
30%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
TEL
1 - 4
FCD
32%
26%
42%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2007 |
TEL
0 - 1
ZWO
37%
26%
38%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2007 |
VVV
1 - 3
NAC
40%
25%
35%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
NEC
0 - 1
NAC
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
NAC
4 - 1
HER
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
FEY
5 - 0
NAC
69%
18%
12%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
NAC
0 - 3
GRO
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |