SC Telstar vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
40.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
3º
15º
14º
6
11º
19º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
10 | 69 |
1º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 69 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 65 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 64 |
4º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 63 |
5º
|
9.5% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 63 |
6º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 60 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 57 |
8º
|
7.5% | |
|
19º
|
3 | 55 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 54 |
10º
|
6.5% | |
|
1º
|
11 | 52 |
11º
|
7% | |
|
18º
|
4 | 51 |
12º
|
6% | |
|
|
14º
|
6 | 49 |
13º
|
5.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
10 | 47 |
14º
|
7.5% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 46 |
15º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 46 |
16º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 45 |
17º
|
9% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 42 |
18º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 35 |
19º
|
41% | |
|
20º
|
2 | 20 |
20º
|
85% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
13.5% | 20% |
|
Mid-table
|
86.5% | 78.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Telstar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
TEL
0 - 0
ALK
32%
24%
44%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
PSV
0 - 2
TEL
53%
24%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
TEL
0 - 3
EIN
42%
26%
33%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
VIT
2 - 3
TEL
68%
21%
12%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
TEL
4 - 1
UMM
42%
23%
34%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
MVV
3 - 2
PSV
49%
24%
28%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
BOS
1 - 1
MVV
28%
24%
48%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
JON
0 - 0
MVV
42%
24%
35%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
MVV
0 - 1
BVO
37%
25%
39%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
PAT
1 - 0
MVV
41%
24%
35%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |