SC Telstar vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Telstar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
GAE
2 - 1
TEL
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
TEL
1 - 0
VVD
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
TEL
3 - 1
PSV
25%
22%
54%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
MVV
0 - 1
TEL
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
TEL
1 - 2
AJA
26%
22%
52%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
HER
0 - 3
PSV
28%
21%
51%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
MVV
2 - 2
HER
54%
24%
23%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
HER
1 - 1
AJA
29%
21%
50%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
ELI
1 - 0
HER
52%
23%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
HER
1 - 3
FEY
20%
21%
60%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |