SC Telstar vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
51.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Telstar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
GAE
5 - 1
TEL
67%
20%
14%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
TEL
1 - 2
RJC
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
FEY
1 - 1
TEL
85%
10%
5%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1978 |
TEL
1 - 1
NAC
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1978 |
TWE
3 - 0
TEL
80%
13%
7%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
AZA
4 - 1
TWE
46%
27%
28%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
GAE
2 - 0
AZA
28%
26%
45%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
AZA
1 - 1
PSV
40%
25%
35%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1978 |
RJC
1 - 2
AZA
37%
27%
37%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1978 |
AZA
3 - 0
NEC
74%
17%
10%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |