Stormers vs Madiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
45.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stormers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ABI
1 - 0
SSC
47%
21%
31%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
SSC
1 - 0
CCF
48%
21%
30%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
SSC
2 - 0
EFC
40%
22%
38%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
2FC
4 - 3
SSC
40%
22%
38%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
SSC
2 - 1
SMC
43%
22%
36%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Madiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 0
2FC
63%
19%
19%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
SMC
1 - 1
MFC
38%
22%
40%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
MFC
2 - 1
AST
13%
21%
67%
|
9 | 59 | 50 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
RFC
1 - 0
MFC
32%
22%
46%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
MFC
3 - 0
VFC
61%
19%
20%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | +1 |