Stord vs Loddefjord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.9%
10.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
8º
13º
9º
28
8º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 4 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
STO
0 - 4
LYS
15%
18%
68%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
AFK
5 - 0
STO
35%
21%
44%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
STO
1 - 1
ASA
76%
13%
11%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
STO
4 - 4
DJE
37%
20%
43%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
DJE
3 - 1
STO
56%
19%
25%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Loddefjord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LIL
1 - 2
FAN
12%
15%
73%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ARD
2 - 3
LIL
44%
22%
35%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
LIL
0 - 4
OTF
15%
17%
68%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
SSK
3 - 2
LIL
75%
16%
9%
|
24 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
FAN
1 - 4
LIL
77%
14%
10%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | +1 |