Stord vs Djerv 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
44.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
8º
13º
9º
45
5º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 4 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ASA
0 - 3
STO
20%
17%
63%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
STO
4 - 0
AFK
38%
21%
41%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +4 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
FLO
2 - 6
STO
12%
15%
74%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 5
STO
69%
16%
15%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
STO
3 - 3
ARD
75%
14%
11%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Djerv 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
DJE
1 - 1
FOR
65%
18%
17%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FLO
0 - 7
DJE
8%
14%
79%
|
42 | 16 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
DJE
3 - 4
ARD
86%
9%
5%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ASA
2 - 3
DJE
22%
19%
60%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
DJE
3 - 1
OTF
33%
23%
45%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |