Stop Out vs Petone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
28.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-65%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
6º
10º
10º
21
5º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stop Out
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
PNM
1 - 1
STO
33%
21%
47%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
STO
0 - 2
MIR
15%
16%
69%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
IBU
4 - 3
STO
14%
16%
70%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
STO
1 - 1
WEL
15%
16%
69%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
WSU
5 - 1
STO
76%
14%
10%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Petone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
IBU
1 - 2
PET
23%
19%
58%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
WKA
2 - 1
PET
77%
13%
10%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
PET
1 - 5
WEL
9%
14%
77%
|
15 | 49 | 34 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
NAP
2 - 1
PET
81%
11%
7%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
PET
2 - 1
NWA
77%
13%
10%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |