Stop Out vs Napier City Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7.1%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
75.4%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
6.1%
2-5
2%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
16%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
3.6%
2-6
1%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
10.4%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0.1%
-5
5.6%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-65%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
6º
10º
10º
40
2º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stop Out
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
NWA
3 - 1
STO
40%
20%
40%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
PET
3 - 3
STO
50%
20%
29%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
STO
1 - 3
PET
51%
20%
29%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
PNM
1 - 1
STO
33%
21%
47%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
STO
0 - 2
MIR
15%
16%
69%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Napier City Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
NAP
7 - 1
WKA
64%
17%
19%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
NAP
2 - 1
NWA
84%
11%
6%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
WEL
2 - 0
NAP
89%
8%
4%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
NAP
10 - 0
PNM
76%
14%
10%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
NAP
2 - 2
WSU
58%
20%
22%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |