Stop Out vs Island Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.7%
20.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-65%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
6º
10º
10º
12
8º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stop Out
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
WEL
2 - 1
STO
86%
9%
5%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
STO
0 - 4
WSU
14%
16%
70%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
STO
3 - 2
WKA
17%
18%
66%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
WEL
8 - 0
STO
87%
8%
4%
|
10 | 49 | 39 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
WEL
8 - 0
STO
88%
8%
4%
|
10 | 49 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Island Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
IBU
0 - 1
WKA
14%
16%
71%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
WEL
8 - 0
IBU
88%
8%
4%
|
8 | 49 | 41 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
IBU
1 - 5
NAP
9%
13%
78%
|
9 | 28 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
NWA
1 - 4
IBU
73%
14%
13%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
IBU
0 - 3
PET
17%
18%
65%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |