Stolem Gniewino vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.9%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
77.9%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.7%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.1%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
9º
18º
13º
62
2º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 35 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
83.5% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stolem Gniewino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
PSZ
0 - 0
STO
75%
16%
9%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
STO
0 - 1
KSG
42%
26%
32%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 0
STO
26%
21%
53%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
STO
4 - 1
USW
57%
20%
23%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
NOW
1 - 2
STO
67%
20%
14%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Zawisza Bydgoszcz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ZAW
1 - 3
GGD
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
ZAW
1 - 3
RAD
19%
22%
59%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 1
ZAW
41%
23%
36%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ZAW
1 - 3
PSR
85%
11%
4%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 2
ZAW
4%
10%
86%
|
56 | 27 | 29 | 0 |