FA Cup 1/32
Global 1-2
Stoke City vs Wimbledon FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
STO
2 - 1
DER
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
WIM
1 - 1
STO
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2003 |
BUR
0 - 1
STO
56%
22%
21%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2003 |
STO
1 - 1
PNE
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
WAT
1 - 3
STO
53%
25%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Wimbledon FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
CRE
1 - 0
WIM
53%
24%
24%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
WIM
1 - 1
STO
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2003 |
WIM
0 - 0
WBA
29%
28%
43%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2003 |
REA
0 - 3
WIM
59%
23%
19%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
SUN
2 - 1
WIM
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |