Stoke City vs Wigan Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2011 |
MAC
3 - 0
STO
66%
21%
14%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
MAC
1 - 0
STO
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
STO
3 - 1
ARS
17%
21%
63%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
BPO
0 - 0
STO
41%
26%
34%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2011 |
STO
3 - 0
WOL
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Wigan Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
WIG
3 - 2
WHU
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
ASV
1 - 1
WIG
62%
22%
17%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
WIG
1 - 1
EVE
25%
27%
48%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
SUN
4 - 2
WIG
49%
26%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
BPO
1 - 3
WIG
43%
26%
32%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |