FA Cup 1/32
Global 1-1
Stoke City vs Tamworth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
10.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
STO
2 - 2
IPS
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
SHE
2 - 1
STO
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2005 |
STO
0 - 1
LEE
31%
28%
41%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
BUR
1 - 0
STO
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
LUT
2 - 3
STO
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
BUR
1 - 1
TAM
58%
24%
19%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
TAM
1 - 1
ALT
44%
26%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
TAM
1 - 1
BUR
31%
28%
41%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
CRA
3 - 0
TAM
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
HAR
1 - 2
TAM
79%
13%
8%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | +1 |