Stoke City vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
14.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
BRE
1 - 0
STO
48%
26%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
STO
1 - 0
CHE
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
STO
1 - 0
POS
64%
22%
15%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
WYC
1 - 0
STO
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2002 |
COL
1 - 3
STO
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
SWI
1 - 0
BPO
49%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
SWI
1 - 1
WIG
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
HUR
2 - 0
SWI
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2002 |
BRE
2 - 0
SWI
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
SWI
3 - 0
POR
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |