Stoke City vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
27.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1996 |
STO
2 - 0
TRA
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1996 |
STO
1 - 0
CHA
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1996 |
OPA
1 - 0
STO
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1996 |
STO
1 - 2
SOU
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1996 |
GRI
1 - 1
STO
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1996 |
CHA
2 - 0
SWI
45%
27%
29%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1996 |
SWI
3 - 1
REA
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1996 |
SHE
2 - 0
SWI
59%
23%
19%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1996 |
BIR
1 - 0
SWI
43%
27%
31%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1996 |
IPS
3 - 2
SWI
52%
24%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |