Stoke City vs Swansea City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1981 |
TOT
2 - 0
STO
72%
17%
11%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1981 |
STO
3 - 1
EVE
54%
25%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
MID
3 - 2
STO
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1981 |
ASV
2 - 2
STO
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1981 |
STO
1 - 2
NTT
39%
28%
33%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1981 |
SWA
2 - 0
ARS
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1981 |
LIV
2 - 2
SWA
76%
16%
8%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
LOK
2 - 1
SWA
76%
16%
8%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
SWA
2 - 0
SUN
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1981 |
SWA
2 - 1
TOT
31%
25%
44%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |