Stoke City vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1982 |
SOU
4 - 3
STO
75%
16%
10%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1982 |
STO
0 - 0
BHA
53%
25%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1982 |
BIR
2 - 1
STO
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1982 |
STO
1 - 5
LIV
31%
27%
42%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1982 |
SWA
3 - 0
STO
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1982 |
SUN
1 - 1
IPS
28%
26%
47%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1982 |
SUN
0 - 2
MID
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1982 |
MUD
0 - 0
SUN
69%
19%
11%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1982 |
LIV
1 - 0
SUN
75%
16%
9%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1982 |
SUN
0 - 1
LEE
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |