Stoke City vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1969 |
STO
2 - 0
COV
55%
24%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1969 |
DER
0 - 0
STO
59%
22%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1969 |
STO
1 - 1
NTT
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1969 |
STO
2 - 1
WHU
40%
25%
34%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1969 |
NTT
0 - 0
STO
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1969 |
SOU
4 - 2
IPS
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1969 |
SOU
2 - 2
CHL
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1969 |
SOU
2 - 3
WOL
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1969 |
MUD
1 - 4
SOU
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1969 |
WOL
2 - 1
SOU
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |