Stoke City vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
23.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1967 |
CHL
2 - 2
STO
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1967 |
STO
0 - 0
WBA
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1967 |
STO
3 - 2
LEI
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1967 |
NEW
1 - 1
STO
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1967 |
SHE
1 - 0
STO
50%
25%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1967 |
SOU
1 - 0
LIV
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1967 |
SOU
1 - 1
LEE
51%
25%
25%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1967 |
COV
2 - 1
SOU
51%
22%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1967 |
CHL
2 - 6
SOU
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1967 |
MAC
4 - 2
SOU
46%
24%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |