Stoke City vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
29.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1926 |
STO
1 - 0
OLD
42%
28%
31%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1926 |
NTT
1 - 2
STO
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1926 |
STO
1 - 3
CHL
27%
28%
45%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1926 |
HUL
1 - 0
STO
64%
20%
16%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1926 |
SHW
2 - 0
STO
75%
15%
10%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1926 |
SOU
1 - 2
SHW
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1926 |
SOU
2 - 0
FUL
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1926 |
SOU
0 - 1
CHL
45%
26%
28%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1926 |
STO
1 - 2
SOU
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1926 |
CHL
0 - 0
SOU
62%
22%
15%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |