EFL Cup 1/32
Global 1-3
Stoke City vs Sheffield Wednesday analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
56.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
CHE
0 - 2
STO
49%
27%
24%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1999 |
CAM
1 - 3
STO
58%
24%
19%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 1999 |
STO
1 - 1
GIL
42%
27%
31%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
BUR
1 - 0
STO
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1999 |
STO
3 - 0
MAC
67%
19%
14%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sheffield Wednesday
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
SHW
0 - 2
EVE
45%
26%
30%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
SOU
2 - 0
SHW
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1999 |
SHW
0 - 2
DER
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
SHW
1 - 2
TOT
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
BRA
1 - 1
SHW
37%
25%
38%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |