Stoke City vs Rochdale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
7.7%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
STO
1 - 0
ARS
16%
20%
64%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
EVE
1 - 0
STO
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
RBL
1 - 2
STO
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2017 |
STP
4 - 2
STO
31%
27%
42%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
CRE
3 - 1
STO
8%
18%
73%
|
84 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
STF
3 - 2
ROC
34%
28%
38%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
ROC
1 - 1
SCU
44%
25%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2017 |
MAN
0 - 1
ROC
31%
25%
44%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
OPA
2 - 0
ROC
53%
25%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
MOR
0 - 1
ROC
22%
24%
54%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |