EFL Cup 1/64
Global 4-2
Stoke City vs Rochdale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
MID
0 - 1
STO
83%
12%
5%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1997 |
BRA
0 - 0
STO
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1997 |
ROC
1 - 3
STO
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
BIR
2 - 0
STO
54%
26%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
STO
2 - 1
WBA
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
LEY
2 - 0
ROC
48%
27%
25%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1997 |
ROC
1 - 3
STO
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1997 |
LIN
0 - 2
ROC
63%
22%
16%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 1997 |
CUM
3 - 2
ROC
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1997 |
ROC
3 - 0
CAM
51%
25%
24%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +2 |