Stoke City vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
13.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
DER
0 - 0
STO
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
QPR
0 - 0
STO
30%
27%
43%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
STO
2 - 0
NTT
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
STO
1 - 1
ASV
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
IPS
1 - 1
STO
16%
25%
59%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2019 |
REA
0 - 3
LEE
23%
25%
52%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
REA
3 - 2
WIG
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
IPS
1 - 2
REA
33%
27%
39%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
REA
1 - 1
ROT
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
SHE
4 - 0
REA
67%
21%
13%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |