Stoke City vs Reading analysis

Stoke City Reading
63 ELO 70
-9.3% Tilt -5.6%
770º General ELO ranking 1154º
40º Country ELO ranking 50º
ELO win probability
35.3%
Stoke City
27.6%
Draw
37.1%
Reading

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
Stoke City
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
37.1%
Win probability
Reading
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Stoke City
+9%
+2%
Reading

ELO progression

Stoke City
Reading
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stoke City
Stoke City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Apr. 2003
CRY
Crystal Palace
1 - 0
Stoke City
STO
59%
23%
18%
63 70 7 0
21 Apr. 2003
COV
Coventry City
0 - 1
Stoke City
STO
49%
25%
25%
62 63 1 +1
19 Apr. 2003
STO
Stoke City
2 - 1
Wimbledon FC
WIM
33%
26%
41%
61 68 7 +1
12 Apr. 2003
MIL
Millwall
3 - 1
Stoke City
STO
57%
23%
20%
62 67 5 -1
09 Apr. 2003
STO
Stoke City
2 - 0
Rotherham United
ROT
43%
26%
31%
61 63 2 +1

Matches

Reading
Reading
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Apr. 2003
WAT
Watford
0 - 3
Reading
REA
46%
26%
29%
70 65 5 0
26 Apr. 2003
REA
Reading
2 - 1
Grimsby Town
GRI
67%
21%
13%
70 56 14 0
21 Apr. 2003
OPA
Portsmouth
3 - 0
Reading
REA
57%
23%
20%
71 72 1 -1
18 Apr. 2003
REA
Reading
1 - 0
Nottingham Forest
NTT
50%
26%
24%
70 70 0 +1
15 Apr. 2003
REA
Reading
5 - 1
Preston North End
PNE
47%
25%
28%
69 68 1 +1