Stoke City vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
22.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1949 |
STO
0 - 1
SHE
56%
21%
23%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1949 |
PNE
2 - 1
STO
54%
22%
25%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1949 |
WOL
3 - 1
STO
69%
17%
14%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1949 |
STO
0 - 0
SUN
59%
20%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1949 |
LIV
4 - 0
STO
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1949 |
PNE
2 - 0
HUR
67%
18%
16%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1949 |
PNE
2 - 1
STO
54%
22%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1949 |
ASV
2 - 0
PNE
61%
19%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1949 |
PNE
4 - 1
SHE
57%
20%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1949 |
PNE
1 - 3
SUN
60%
20%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |