FA Cup 1/16
Global 0-1
Stoke City vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
38.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1994 |
STO
1 - 1
WOL
44%
28%
28%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1994 |
OLD
0 - 0
STO
84%
10%
6%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1994 |
STO
1 - 1
OXF
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1994 |
BAT
1 - 4
STO
33%
24%
43%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1994 |
GRI
0 - 0
STO
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1994 |
OLD
2 - 1
SOU
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1994 |
OLD
0 - 0
STO
84%
10%
6%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1994 |
ARS
1 - 1
OLD
68%
20%
11%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1994 |
OLD
0 - 3
LIV
34%
25%
41%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1994 |
OLD
2 - 1
DER
74%
15%
11%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |