Stoke City vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1982 |
STO
1 - 0
ASV
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1982 |
LEE
0 - 0
STO
59%
24%
18%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1982 |
NOT
3 - 1
STO
51%
26%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1982 |
STO
2 - 1
WOL
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1982 |
IPS
2 - 0
STO
76%
15%
9%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1982 |
MAC
1 - 0
NOT
68%
18%
13%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1982 |
NOT
1 - 4
BIR
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1982 |
NOT
3 - 1
STO
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1982 |
TOT
3 - 1
NOT
75%
16%
10%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1982 |
NOT
4 - 1
BHA
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |