Stoke City vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
13.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1907 |
BRI
4 - 0
STO
69%
17%
13%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1906 |
STO
1 - 2
NEW
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 1906 |
STO
3 - 0
BOL
45%
22%
33%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1906 |
STO
0 - 2
PNE
51%
24%
26%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1906 |
MID
5 - 0
STO
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1907 |
NOT
3 - 0
MUD
42%
24%
34%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1906 |
BOL
0 - 0
NOT
81%
12%
7%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1906 |
SHE
2 - 1
NOT
79%
13%
8%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1906 |
DER
3 - 0
NOT
66%
19%
16%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1906 |
NOT
2 - 3
BRI
39%
24%
37%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |