Stoke City vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1972 |
STO
0 - 3
LEE
26%
29%
45%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1972 |
STO
0 - 0
WHU
56%
24%
20%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1972 |
MAC
1 - 2
STO
67%
20%
13%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1972 |
LIV
2 - 1
STO
65%
21%
13%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1972 |
STO
1 - 1
DER
42%
28%
30%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1972 |
NTT
1 - 0
NEW
37%
29%
34%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1972 |
ARS
3 - 0
NTT
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1972 |
LEE
6 - 1
NTT
80%
14%
6%
|
78 | 92 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1972 |
NTT
4 - 0
COV
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1972 |
WHU
4 - 2
NTT
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |