Stoke City vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
9.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
QPR
1 - 0
STO
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
STO
4 - 1
SWI
67%
21%
12%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
OLD
1 - 2
STO
38%
27%
36%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
STO
3 - 1
WRE
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2001 |
BOU
1 - 0
STO
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
NOR
0 - 3
BRI
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
NOR
0 - 3
WAL
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
BOU
2 - 0
NOR
64%
22%
14%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2001 |
NOR
0 - 2
POR
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
NOR
2 - 0
COL
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |