Stoke City vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
11.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1966 |
EVE
2 - 1
STO
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1966 |
STO
1 - 3
ARS
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1966 |
LEE
2 - 2
STO
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1966 |
STO
4 - 1
BPO
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1966 |
LEI
1 - 0
STO
60%
21%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1966 |
MUD
6 - 2
NOR
77%
14%
9%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1966 |
NOR
0 - 2
EVE
28%
25%
47%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1966 |
WHU
1 - 1
NOR
75%
15%
10%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1966 |
NOR
2 - 1
BBU
27%
24%
49%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1966 |
SHE
2 - 2
NOR
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |