Stoke City vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
40.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
WBA
0 - 2
STO
57%
23%
21%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
STO
1 - 0
MID
36%
29%
36%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
EVE
3 - 1
STO
70%
19%
11%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
STO
2 - 0
BOL
30%
27%
43%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
ASV
2 - 2
STO
65%
22%
14%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
NEW
0 - 2
CHL
20%
25%
55%
|
84 | 95 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
NEW
1 - 3
ARS
22%
24%
54%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
HUL
1 - 1
NEW
40%
26%
34%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
NEW
1 - 2
MUD
18%
25%
57%
|
85 | 97 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
BOL
1 - 0
NEW
41%
27%
32%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |