FA Cup 1/32
Global 1-4
Stoke City vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
44%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2008 |
STO
1 - 1
HUL
54%
26%
21%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2007 |
PLY
2 - 2
STO
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
BAR
3 - 3
STO
35%
28%
37%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
STO
3 - 1
WBA
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
BPO
2 - 3
STO
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2008 |
NEW
0 - 2
MAC
49%
26%
25%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2007 |
CHL
2 - 1
NEW
75%
17%
8%
|
86 | 95 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
WIG
1 - 0
NEW
30%
27%
43%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
NEW
2 - 2
DER
68%
20%
12%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
FUL
0 - 1
NEW
39%
26%
35%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | +1 |