Stoke City vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1974 |
STO
0 - 0
ARS
45%
26%
29%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1974 |
NOR
4 - 0
STO
40%
28%
32%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1974 |
STO
4 - 1
SOU
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1974 |
COV
2 - 0
STO
44%
28%
29%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1974 |
DER
1 - 1
STO
67%
20%
14%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1974 |
NEW
2 - 0
BUR
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1974 |
MAC
2 - 1
NEW
50%
26%
24%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1974 |
NEW
1 - 1
LEI
57%
24%
18%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1974 |
NTT
0 - 1
NEW
41%
27%
32%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1974 |
NEW
0 - 0
NTT
75%
17%
9%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |