Stoke City vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
29.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1968 |
SHW
2 - 1
STO
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1968 |
STO
0 - 0
MUD
26%
25%
50%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1968 |
WBA
2 - 1
STO
75%
16%
10%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1968 |
STO
0 - 3
COV
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1968 |
TOT
1 - 1
STO
78%
14%
8%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1968 |
NEW
4 - 1
SOU
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1968 |
WOL
5 - 0
NEW
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1968 |
NEW
1 - 0
SCP
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1968 |
NEW
1 - 0
MAC
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1968 |
ARS
0 - 0
NEW
69%
18%
13%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |